Natural hazards Turkish Riviera (Antalya, Bodrum, Marmaris)
Turkey · total risk 64% (Very high) — our indicative estimate for a two-week stay in high season, based on 2017–2025.
In our estimate, Turkish Riviera (Antalya, Bodrum, Marmaris) scores a total risk of 64% (very high). The main natural hazards for a summer holiday are extreme heat (52%) and wildfire (26%). Below you'll find the full profile, what happened in recent years, the best time to travel and practical travel advice.
Risk profile
Percentage = indicative chance that a two-week stay in high season is noticeably disrupted by this hazard. Based on 2017–2025, not an official forecast.
When is the best time to visit Turkish Riviera (Antalya, Bodrum, Marmaris)?
Peak-risk months: June – September
What happened here? (2017–2025)
- 2021Disastrous summer: fires around Marmaris/Bodrum, hotel guests evacuated by boat, 170,000+ ha burnt
- 2023Severe earthquakes (south-east; the tourist coast was spared but remains a risk zone)
- 2025Extensive fires again; Turkey among the hardest-hit countries of the season
Travel advice
Frequently asked questions
Is it safe to travel to Turkish Riviera (Antalya, Bodrum, Marmaris)?
In our indicative estimate, Turkish Riviera (Antalya, Bodrum, Marmaris) scores a total risk of 64% (very high): the chance that a two-week stay in high season is noticeably disrupted by natural hazards — from smoke or heat stress to evacuation. This is based on the historical frequency in 2017–2025 and is not an official forecast. Most holidays pass without incident even in higher-risk areas; always check the live map and local warnings just before departure.
What is the biggest natural hazard in Turkish Riviera (Antalya, Bodrum, Marmaris)?
Extreme heat is the dominant risk at 52%, followed by wildfire (26%). Very well organised for tourist evacuations, but Turkey's underlying seismic risk is structurally higher than elsewhere around the Mediterranean.
When is the best time to visit Turkish Riviera (Antalya, Bodrum, Marmaris)?
Peak-risk months: June – September. Outside the peak months the risk of natural hazards is considerably lower, and it is also quieter and often cheaper.
Travel guides for this region
The percentages are indicative estimates based on the historical frequency and scale of events in 2017–2025 (EFFIS/Copernicus, EM-DAT, national weather services). They are not an official forecast. The live fire danger above is official, current data. Just before departure, consult the live map and local warnings.