🌡️ Extreme heat🔥 Wildfire

Natural hazards Croatia & the Dalmatian coast

Croatia · total risk 49% (High) — our indicative estimate for a two-week stay in high season, based on 2017–2025.

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In our estimate, Croatia & the Dalmatian coast scores a total risk of 49% (high). The main natural hazards for a summer holiday are extreme heat (42%) and wildfire (14%). Below you'll find the full profile, what happened in recent years, the best time to travel and practical travel advice.

Risk profile

🔥 Wildfire14% · Modest

🌡️ Extreme heat42% · High

🌊 Flooding6% · Low

⛈️ Storm / severe weather9% · Low

🌋 Seismic / volcanic6% · Low

Percentage = indicative chance that a two-week stay in high season is noticeably disrupted by this hazard. Based on 2017–2025, not an official forecast.

When is the best time to visit Croatia & the Dalmatian coast?

Peak-risk months: July – August

Jan8°

Feb11°

Mar13°

Apr17°

May21°

Jun28°

Jul31°

Aug31°

Sep25°

Oct20°

Nov14°

Dec10°

Avg. maximum temperature per month · climate normal 2019–2024 (ERA5)

What happened here? (2017–2025)

2020Earthquakes in Zagreb (5.5) and Petrinja (6.4)
2023Fires near Split and Šibenik, motorway temporarily closed
2024Heatwaves with sea water of 28–30 °C
2025Elevated fire danger along the whole coast; some campsites cleared as a precaution

Travel advice

More favourable than Greece or southern Italy, but the bora wind can drive coastal fires fast. Islands like Hvar and Brač see smaller fires every year.

Frequently asked questions

Is it safe to travel to Croatia & the Dalmatian coast?

In our indicative estimate, Croatia & the Dalmatian coast scores a total risk of 49% (high): the chance that a two-week stay in high season is noticeably disrupted by natural hazards — from smoke or heat stress to evacuation. This is based on the historical frequency in 2017–2025 and is not an official forecast. Most holidays pass without incident even in higher-risk areas; always check the live map and local warnings just before departure.

What is the biggest natural hazard in Croatia & the Dalmatian coast?

Extreme heat is the dominant risk at 42%, followed by wildfire (14%). More favourable than Greece or southern Italy, but the bora wind can drive coastal fires fast. Islands like Hvar and Brač see smaller fires every year.

When is the best time to visit Croatia & the Dalmatian coast?

Peak-risk months: July – August. Outside the peak months the risk of natural hazards is considerably lower, and it is also quieter and often cheaper.

Travel guides for this region

DANA, mistral, bora and calima: the weather phenomena of your holiday explained They keep appearing in our travel guides: DANA, mistral, bora, calima, cévenol. What exactly are these local weather phenomena, where do they occur, and why do they make the difference between a pleasant and a disrupted holiday? Croatia & the Dalmatian Coast: the safer alternative — with one caveat Split, Dubrovnik and the islands are considered a safer alternative to Greece and Southern Italy. That's largely true, but the bora wind can spread coastal fires at lightning speed. What you need to know.

Check the current risk for Croatia & the Dalmatian coast

Live fire danger (EFFIS/Copernicus), official warnings and the 7-day forecast.

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The percentages are indicative estimates based on the historical frequency and scale of events in 2017–2025 (EFFIS/Copernicus, EM-DAT, national weather services). They are not an official forecast. The live fire danger above is official, current data. Just before departure, consult the live map and local warnings.